M

Group

What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be United States-based in the TOP500 list on the following dates?

12
103 forecasters

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Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th

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CDF

<15
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
2.2%
26.92
31.81
39.96
13.4%

What was the final result?30.6

Community Baseline Score
34.3
Community Peer Score
17.5

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Mar 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 14, 2030

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