Question

Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

2.4

median 0.1%mean 0.7%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

15%

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Arkansas Gov Sarah Sanders will not join the Trump administration

FOX News•Nov 13, 2024

Donald Trump Makes White House Press Secretary Pick

Newsweek•Nov 16, 2024

Karoline Leavitt named as Donald Trump’s White House press secretary

Guardian•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

15%

Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%