Question

Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?

Resolved :No1%

63 comments63

Total Forecasters249

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

77.2

Community Peer Score

14.3

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jul 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Democratic Party (US)

Trump drops brutal clip of Dems calling 82-year-old Biden 'incredibly sharp' following CBS reporter's admission that 'obvious cognitive decline' was underreported

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Biden Closes Out 2024 With Cratering Approval Rating

Daily Wire•Jan 27, 2025

Joe Biden Not in Charge, Advisers Running 'Shadow Presidency'—DNC member

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Sam Altman run for President of the United States before 2040?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.9

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jul 11, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Democratic Party (US)

Trump drops brutal clip of Dems calling 82-year-old Biden 'incredibly sharp' following CBS reporter's admission that 'obvious cognitive decline' was underreported

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Biden Closes Out 2024 With Cratering Approval Rating

Daily Wire•Jan 27, 2025

Joe Biden Not in Charge, Advisers Running 'Shadow Presidency'—DNC member

Newsweek•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Sam Altman run for President of the United States before 2040?

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

45%

What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?

63.9