Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?

Resolved :No1%
10
63
Total Forecasters249
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
77.2
Community Peer Score
14.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Democratic Party (US)
United States
Joe Biden

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