Question

Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?

Resolved :No

63 comments63

Total Forecasters249

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

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Community Baseline Score

77.2

Community Peer Score

14.3

median 1.0%mean 1.5%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

United States

Joe Biden

What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024?

-13

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Democratic Party (US)

United States

Joe Biden

The October Surprise Everyone Expects Might Not Be the One Kamala Wants

PJ Media•Oct 8, 2024

Biden's top aides denied he was disintegrating — as donors warned prez's aging appearance was 'f--king up' campaign: Woodward book

New York Post•Oct 10, 2024

How many days until the 2024 presidential election? See the countdown clock

USA Today•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024?

-13

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%