Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?
3
2 comments
2
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
71
Community Prediction
22.3
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
20.96
22.32
23.42
Background Info
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Microbiology
Biology
United States
Filoviridae
Medicine
Virology
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
Coronaviridae
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Microbiology
Biology
United States
Filoviridae
Medicine
Virology
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
Coronaviridae
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Cases of highly infectious and preventable measles surged across the globe by 20 percent last year
Independent
•
Nov 16, 2024
CDC warns of measles surge and decline in vaccinations as Trump nominates vaccine-skeptic RFK Jr to head health
Daily Mail
•
Nov 16, 2024
Dengue fever spiked to record levels in 2024: Climate change will make it even worse
USA Today
•
Nov 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Cases of highly infectious and preventable measles surged across the globe by 20 percent last year
Independent
•
Nov 16, 2024
CDC warns of measles surge and decline in vaccinations as Trump nominates vaccine-skeptic RFK Jr to head health
Daily Mail
•
Nov 16, 2024
Dengue fever spiked to record levels in 2024: Climate change will make it even worse
USA Today
•
Nov 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?
119k
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8.06
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?
119k
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8.06
Show More Questions
