Question

For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction22.3

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

22.3

23.4

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

Coronaviridae

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

Coronaviridae

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Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

7.99

MetaculusM

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For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?

Make a Prediction

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Comments

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?