Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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Question

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

17
9
Total Forecasters114
Community Prediction60% (45% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 60%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Virology
European Union
United Kingdom
Canada
National Institutes of Health
United States
Medicine
Immunology
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

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