Question

Will Seattle's Approval Voting ballot initiative (Initiative 134) pass?

Resolved :No

19 comments19

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction48%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-7.1

Community Peer Score

20.9

median 48.0%mean 46.3%

Authors:

Orborde

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will the state of Missouri implement approval voting before 2030?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

When will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact come into effect?

2043-03-03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Orborde

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the state of Missouri implement approval voting before 2030?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

When will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact come into effect?

2043-03-03