📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many medical scientist jobs will there be in the US in 2030?

6
10
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction149k (136k - 162k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<50k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>200k
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
136k
148.6k
162.1k
4.0%
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
US Employment Projections
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Cancer
United States
Psychiatry
Medicine
Oncology
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Neurology

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