📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many epidemiologist jobs will there be in the US in 2030?

6
1
Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction10.2k (9.31k - 11.3k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<4k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>16k
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
9.306k
10.22k
11.29k
5.2%
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
US Employment Projections
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
United States
Bureau of Labor Statistics

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