Question

Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza?

Resolved :Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction76%

Make a Prediction

community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Yes

median 76.0%mean 71.9%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Biosecurity Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Medicine

Influenza

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

59%

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Biosecurity Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Medicine

Influenza

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Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

59%

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza?

Make a Prediction

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Comments

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?