M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Group

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

4
32

Make a Prediction

TBD group labelresolution
25thmedian75th
community
<2
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4
5.3%
2
3.17
3.76
21.3%

What was the final result?2

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting AI Progress
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Bell Labs
Computer science
ISC High Performance
IEEE Supercomputing Conference
LINPACK benchmarks
Performance analysis
Mathematics
TOP500
Software engineering

Comments

? comments