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What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

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136 forecasters

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Total Performance (exaFLOPS)

median

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Forecast Timeline

November 2026

June 2021

November 2022

June 2030

November 2021

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 14, 2020

Closes:

Apr 14, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 31, 2030

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TOP500

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What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2.9×10¹⁸

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

51.3

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

2×10²⁵

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