Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Doug Mastriano be elected Governor of Pennsylvania in 2022?

Resolved :No5%
6
10
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction5% (3% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
59.6
Community Peer Score
8.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Josh Shapiro
Douglas V. Mastriano
Steve Bannon
Democratic Party (US)
United States Army
Republican Party (US)
Pennsylvania
List of governors of Pennsylvania
2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

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