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What will be the state-of-the-art language modelling performance (in perplexity) on WikiText-103 by the following dates?
31 comments31
103 forecasters
Make a Prediction
Date | resolution | ||
---|---|---|---|
15.8 | |||
14.8 | |||
- | |||
Date | 25th | median | 75th |
6.9 ... | 9.39 ... | 12.3 ... |
CDF
<8
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
0.2%
14.99
15.6
15.74
What was the final result?15.8
Community Baseline Score
180.7
Community Peer Score
85.3
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 13, 2026
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2020
Closes:Feb 13, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 13, 2026