Question

Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?

182 comments182

Total Forecasters619

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

median 35.0%mean 35.9%

Authors:

tryingToPredictFuture

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tryingToPredictFuture

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

UKRAINE: Here Comes the Russian Counter-Counteroffensive?

PJ Media•Nov 12, 2024

3 reasons why Russia's economy can survive without crisis for up to 5 more years, think-tank economists say

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

What next on the war in Ukraine?

•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024? → Large-Scale Conflict Within Russia by 2030?

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%