Question
Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?
Total Forecasters1739
Community Prediction
27%
(20% - 33%)
Make a Prediction
2
Despite the increase in troop numbers, Russia has been unable to induce sufficient numbers of volunteers for combat, with official numbers of 'volunteer recruits' being exaggerated.
2
Russia's economy is under pressure with inflation spiking, leading to a record high interest rate of 21% as of December 2024.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch