M

Question

Will there be a large-scale armed conflict in Russia before 2030?

Total Forecasters1644
Community Prediction27% (16% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 27%
1
Russia's economy is under pressure with inflation spiking, leading to a record high interest rate of 21% as of December 2024.
1
Despite the increase in troop numbers, Russia has been unable to induce sufficient numbers of volunteers for combat, with official numbers of 'volunteer recruits' being exaggerated.
Putin won the 2024 Russian election with 87% of the vote, indicating strong political control and consolidation of power.
Almost half of Russians want Putin to open talks to end the war in Ukraine, indicating potential domestic pressure for policy change.
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030

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