MetaculusM

Group

What will be the limit prices of these major crops from December 2021 to April 2023?

28 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

US Gulf No.1 yellow soybean - Max

US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Max

Thai AI super rice - Max

US Gulf No.1 yellow soybean - Min

US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Max

US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Min

Make a Prediction

Crop	resolution
US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Max	560
US Gulf No.2 hard red winter wheat - Min	357
US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Max	354
US Gulf No.2 yellow maize - Min	266
Thai AI super rice - Min	368
Thai AI super rice - Max	475
US Gulf No.1 yellow soybean - Max	Ambiguous
US Gulf No.1 yellow soybean - Min	Ambiguous

PDF

CDF

<200

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2k

0.3%

521.9

571.3

631.3

0.1%

What was the final result?560

Community Baseline Score

92.3

Community Peer Score

18.9

Authors:

havlickova.blanka casens

Opened:

Dec 20, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 20, 2025

Alt-Protein Tournament

Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Food and Agriculture Organization

Yellow soybean paste

Gulf Coast of the United States

Comments

? comments

Authors:

havlickova.blanka casens

Opened:

Dec 20, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 20, 2025

Alt-Protein Tournament

Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Food and Agriculture Organization

Yellow soybean paste

Gulf Coast of the United States