Question
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Resolved :Nov 15, 20222023-01-26Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction2023-01-26 (2022-11-13 - 2026-12-18)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2022 | — |
| median | Jan 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2040-01-01 | 5.0% | — |
What was the final result?Nov 15, 2022
Community Baseline Score
0.2
Community Peer Score
0.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jun 28, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
