Group

Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024?

112 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

South Sudan

India, Israel or Pakistan

Make a Prediction

States		My Prediction		Me
South Sudan	no

India, Israel or Pakistan	no

Resolved Dec 31, 2023

Community Baseline Score

77.1

Community Peer Score

18.9

Authors:

havlickova.blanka casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

45%

Overall, has nuclear risk risen or fallen in the last three decades, and will it rise or fall over the next three decades?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

Comments

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Authors:

havlickova.blanka casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

North Korea and weapons of mass destruction

Ukraine Could Build its Own Nuclear Bombs in Months: Report

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Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

45%