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Question

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

3
7
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2037-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
2029-02
2037-05
2059-10
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Technology
Thermonuclear weapon
Military science
Security
Nuclear weapons testing
Geopolitics
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Physics
World War I
Risk management
Nuclear Science and Techniques

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