Question
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction2035-12-11 (2028-11-07 - 2055-07-04)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2028 | — |
| median | 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | 2055 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Apr 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Apr 27, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
