Group
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Driverless Service | 25th | median | 75th |
|---|---|---|---|
2025-07-20 ... | 2026-12-23 ... | 2028-12-31 ... | |
2026-01-04 ... | 2027-04-21 ... | 2029-06-05 ... | |
2025-05-18 ... | 2026-09-16 ... | 2028-07-11 ... |
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2034-12-23
...
...
...
...
2025-07-20 22:40
2026-12-23 19:05
2028-12-31 05:12
6.6%
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2020
Closes:Dec 26, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 26, 2034
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2020
Closes:Dec 26, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 26, 2034