Question

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

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Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction226

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>730

...

176.3

226.3

305

0.9%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Food and Drug Administration

Trump nominates Marty Makary, who opposed COVID vaccine mandates, to head FDA

CBS•Nov 23, 2024

Trump Nominates Marty Makary for FDA Commissioner

•Nov 23, 2024

Confronting the Dangers of Silent Spread Is Necessary to Prevent Future Pandemics

Scientific American•Nov 25, 2024

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If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

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