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What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

7 comments7

144 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Orthomyxoviridae

Other 24 known HIVF

Coronaviridae

Not in 26 known HIVF

Make a Prediction

Pathogen		My Prediction		Me
Orthomyxoviridae	58%

Other 24 known HIVF	25%

Coronaviridae	15%

Not in 26 known HIVF	7%

Authors:

juancambeiro

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Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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27%

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%