Question
When will an ML model achieve 90% of human-crowd performance on Autocast?
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction2026-09-04 (2024-11-29 - 2028-12-17)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2032-06-29
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2024-11-29 20:58
2026-09-04 23:30
2028-12-17 19:08
7.0%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2022
Closes:Feb 1, 2032
Scheduled resolution:Feb 2, 2032
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2022
Closes:Feb 1, 2032
Scheduled resolution:Feb 2, 2032
