🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?

7
32
40 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th
community
<3
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>7
2.3%
3.565
3.775
4.009
0.2%

What was the final result?3.61

Community Baseline Score
52.0
Community Peer Score
29.3
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Gasoline
Russo-Ukrainian War
Nicolás Maduro
Joe Biden
Fuel taxes in the United States
Venezuela
Strategic Petroleum Reserve (United States)

Comments

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