Question

How much philanthropic funding will go to nuclear issues in 2025?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction17.4M

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1B

...

6.839M

17.4M

41.75M

0.1%

Authors:

chr04a3880cc9cc47d8

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

MacArthur Foundation

Project on Nuclear Issues

Nuclear risk funding & labor

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43%

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

Comments

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Authors:

chr04a3880cc9cc47d8

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

MacArthur Foundation

Project on Nuclear Issues

Kazakhstan Referendum Will Reshape Nuclear Energy In Central Asia

Forbes•Oct 8, 2024

America Is Updating Its Nuclear Weapons. The Price: $1.7 Trillion. - The New York Times

New York Times•Oct 10, 2024

Nobel Peace Prize 2024 won by Japan’s Nihon Hidankyo for efforts to rid world of nuclear weapons

CNN•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Nuclear risk funding & labor

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43%

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%