Question

How much philanthropic funding will go to nuclear issues in 2025?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction17.4M

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1B

...

6.839M

17.4M

41.75M

0.1%

Authors:

chr04a3880cc9cc47d8

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

MacArthur Foundation

Project on Nuclear Issues

Nuclear risk funding & labor

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%

Comments

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Authors:

chr04a3880cc9cc47d8

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

MacArthur Foundation

Project on Nuclear Issues

Can the US triple its nuclear energy capacity?

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

A new nuclear arms race is beginning. It will be far more dangerous than the last one

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Navigating the Fiscal Storm: A New Course for U.S. National Defense

Lew Rockwell•Nov 15, 2024

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Nuclear risk funding & labor

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

Will countries possess a total of >20,000 nuclear weapons on December 31, 2029?

10%