Question

Will Brandy Bottone, the pregnant woman pulled over in Texas for an HOV lane violation, be found guilty in court?

Resolved :No

15 comments15

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction47%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 47%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

14.9

Community Peer Score

9.3

median 47.0%mean 51.0%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

High-occupancy vehicle lane

Texas

Roe v. Wade

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.4

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

13.8%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

High-occupancy vehicle lane

Texas

Roe v. Wade

After Roe, pregnant women face increased risk of criminal prosecution

PBS NewsHour•Nov 15, 2024

Texas mom on death row ‘actually innocent’ after new evidence and Kim Kardashian intervention

New York Post•Nov 15, 2024

North Texas woman who believes she was switched at birth sues hospital for accountability

CBS•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.4

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

13.8%