Question

How many Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction13

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

5.08

26.8

Authors:

Wombat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Democratic Socialists of America

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Rashida Tlaib

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If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Wombat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

Democratic Socialists of America

US House of Representatives

Democratic Party (US)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Rashida Tlaib

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

In a Trump-dominated Washington, new arrivals in the House try to emerge

CBS•Nov 11, 2024

Which Democrat should campaign for president in 2028? There’s a front-runner.

Slate•Nov 13, 2024

Democratic Socialists of America Needs a Unified Strategy

Jacobin•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%