Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Group
What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?
8
3 comments
3
26 forecasters
Make a Prediction
Year
25th
median
75th
2025
2.04
...
2.17
...
2.29
...
2030
1.89
...
2.07
...
2.25
...
2075
1.51
...
1.85
...
2.23
...
2100
1.37
...
1.78
...
2.16
...
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Sign Up to Predict
My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
2.042
2.169
2.289
0.2%
Learn more about scores
here
.
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2075
2025
2100
2030
Background Info
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Demography
Demographic transition
Sociology
Total fertility rate
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Public health
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Social Sciences
Demography
Demographic transition
Sociology
Total fertility rate
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Public health
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
Chinese Cities Issue Work-Life Balance Order to Save Falling Birth Rate
Newsweek
•
Dec 24, 2024
China Pressures Women To Help Avert Population Crisis
Newsweek
•
Dec 26, 2024
Trump’s second term might have a surprising effect on America’s fertility rate.
Slate
•
Dec 29, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Chinese Cities Issue Work-Life Balance Order to Save Falling Birth Rate
Newsweek
•
Dec 24, 2024
China Pressures Women To Help Avert Population Crisis
Newsweek
•
Dec 26, 2024
Trump’s second term might have a surprising effect on America’s fertility rate.
Slate
•
Dec 29, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?
2.17
What will be the world population in the following years?
8.16B
Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?
1%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years?
2.17
What will be the world population in the following years?
8.16B
Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?
1%
Show More Questions