Question

How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022?

Resolved :4

9 comments9

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction4.06

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100M

...

3.199

4.059

5.856

0.1%

What was the final result?4

Community Baseline Score

118.4

Community Peer Score

34.3

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Marburg virus disease

Medicine

Ghana

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If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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