Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election?

6
36
23 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 19

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
George Wajackoyah
no
Raila Odinga
no
William Ruto
yes
David Waihiga Mwaure
no
Resolved Aug 8, 2022
Community Baseline Score
86.8
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
rduubs
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Raila Odinga
Kenya
William Ruto
Orange Democratic Movement
United Democratic Alliance
Agano Party

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