Question
When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2028-09-19 (2025-12-21 - 2033-06-24)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Dec 2025 | — |
median | Sep 2028 | — |
upper 75% | Jun 2033 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2050-01-02 | 3.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050