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Question

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction2028-09-19 (2025-12-21 - 2033-06-24)

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CDF

weight:
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%Dec 2025
medianSep 2028
upper 75%Jun 2033
Upper bound
>2050-01-023.5%
Opened:Jul 23, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050

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