Question

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?

Resolved :3.31k3.4k

4 comments4

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction3.4k (3.27k - 3.59k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

3.271k

3.404k

3.592k

0.2%

What was the final result?3.31k

Community Baseline Score

62.4

Community Peer Score

18.5

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Infectious disease

Monkeypox

Central Africa

Mysterious illness which leaves women and teenage girls 'shaking uncontrollably' spreads through Uganda leaving doctors baffled

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

What We Know About America’s First ‘Severe’ Bird-Flu Case

•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Infectious disease

Monkeypox

Central Africa

Mysterious illness which leaves women and teenage girls 'shaking uncontrollably' spreads through Uganda leaving doctors baffled

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

What We Know About America’s First ‘Severe’ Bird-Flu Case

•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

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What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in New York as of August 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?