🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in California as of August 31, 2022?

Resolved :3.63k3.44k
6
6
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction3.44k (3.3k - 3.61k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>6k
...
...
...
...
3.302k
3.437k
3.612k
0.7%

What was the final result?3.63k

Community Baseline Score
15.2
Community Peer Score
40.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Monkeypox
Public health
California
Medicine
Virology

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