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What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Rishi Sunak wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
5
5 comments
5
4 forecasters
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2040
2025
2023
2022
2030
Make a Prediction
Year
resolution
2022
Ambiguous
2023
Ambiguous
2025
Ambiguous
2030
Ambiguous
2040
Ambiguous
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4k
0.1%
2.217k
2.274k
2.333k
0.1%
What was the final result?
Ambiguous
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Background Info
Authors:
jonathannankivell
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
Conservative Party (UK)
Brexit
Rishi Sunak
United Kingdom
Gross domestic product
Pound sterling
COVID-19 vaccine
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Authors:
jonathannankivell
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
Conservative Party (UK)
Brexit
Rishi Sunak
United Kingdom
Gross domestic product
Pound sterling
COVID-19 vaccine
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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What happened to ‘growth, growth, growth’?
Spectator (UK)
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Dec 23, 2024
Americans Predict A Difficult 2025
Newsweek
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Dec 31, 2024
Britain: How to Destroy an Economy in Six Months
Lew Rockwell
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Dec 24, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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