Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will the GDP of the UK be (in billions GBP), given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?

4
5
8 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<1k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>4k
0.1%
2.224k
2.274k
2.326k
0.1%

What was the final result?2.23k

Community Baseline Score
129.4
Community Peer Score
3.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 5
Authors:
jonathannankivell
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
Conservative Party (UK)
United Kingdom
Gross domestic product
Conservative Party leadership election
Real gross domestic product
Liz Truss

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