Question

Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022?

Resolved :Yes

79 comments79

Total Forecasters168

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

2.0

Community Peer Score

0.3

median 99.0%mean 97.1%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Third Taiwan Strait Crisis

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%

Forecast on critical questions on Taiwan 🇹🇼

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Third Taiwan Strait Crisis

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%