Question

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?

Resolved :19k19.3k

26 comments26

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction19.3k (18.3k - 20.5k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

18.34k

19.33k

20.51k

0.3%

What was the final result?19k

Community Baseline Score

68.6

Community Peer Score

49.2

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Covid Map Shows Latest Rates Across U.S. Before Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 22, 2024

Whooping cough cases reach highest level in a decade

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.8k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.11

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Covid Map Shows Latest Rates Across U.S. Before Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 22, 2024

Whooping cough cases reach highest level in a decade

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.8k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.11

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the total number of monkeypox cases in the United States as of August 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?