Question
Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)
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Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3.2%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
25%
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3.2%