Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

12
42
44 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<100
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10M
0.1%
75.08k
83.75k
92.7k
0.2%

What was the final result?83.8k

Community Baseline Score
122.7
Community Peer Score
71.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 22
Authors:
Primer
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022 Leaderboard
2024 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Our World in Data
Virology
Public Health Emergency of International Concern
Epidemiology
Infectious disease
Monkeypox

Comments

? comments