🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

14
37
64 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Partyresolution
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.3695
0.8716
1.785
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Federal Election Commission
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
US Electoral College
Libertarian Party (United States)
United States
2024 Elections (US)
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

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