Question

Will the UK have a Labour government before June 2030?

Resolved :Yes

13 comments13

Total Forecasters109

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

20.7

Community Peer Score

2.1

median 99.0%mean 96.8%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2019 United Kingdom general election

Conservative Party (UK)

Liberal Democrats (UK)

United Kingdom

Labour Party (UK)

2010 United Kingdom general election

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2019 United Kingdom general election

Conservative Party (UK)

Liberal Democrats (UK)

United Kingdom

Labour Party (UK)

2010 United Kingdom general election

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Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

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Guardian•Oct 11, 2024

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Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

70%

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Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%