Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the UK have a Labour government before June 2030?

Resolved :Yes99%
6
13
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
20.7
Community Peer Score
2.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2019 United Kingdom general election
Conservative Party (UK)
Liberal Democrats (UK)
United Kingdom
Labour Party (UK)
2010 United Kingdom general election

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