Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

4
2
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction80% (66% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 80%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jservellocasens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Health & Pandemics
Tuberculosis
EMA
Infectious disease
Food and Drug Administration
BCG vaccine
Tuberculosis vaccines
MIP (gene)
PMDA
Medicine
Immunology

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