Question

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

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Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction61.8% (55% - 73%)

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50%

community: 61.8%

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Authors:

jservello casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Multi-drug-resistant tuberculosis

Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

994k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jservello casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Multi-drug-resistant tuberculosis

Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80%

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

994k

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Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

Make a Prediction

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

Comments

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?