Question

Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

91.4

Community Peer Score

4.0

median 0.5%mean 1.2%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Ukraine

North Korea

Russia

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?

11%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Ukraine

North Korea

Russia

North Korea To Deploy More Soldiers to Ukraine After Reported Deaths: Seoul

Newsweek•Oct 8, 2024

North Korea Now Sending Troops to Ukraine to Fight Alongside Russians

PJ Media•Oct 10, 2024

North Koreans Are Now Fighting in Ukraine, Says Zelensky

Breitbart•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024?

11%