Question

Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters156

Community Prediction0.5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

91.4

Community Peer Score

4.0

median 0.5%mean 1.2%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

Russo-Ukrainian War

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Ukraine

North Korea

Russia

What do we know about the North Korean troops joining Russia’s war?

Al Jazeera•Nov 13, 2024

North Korea Sent 8 Million Artillery Shells to Ukraine. Next Up: Troops

•Nov 16, 2024

North Korea may supply Putin with 100,000 soldiers for Ukraine war: report

New York Post•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025?

18%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

Comments

? comments