Question

Will PredictIt default on its obligation to allow its users to withdraw funds before 2023?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

59.7

Community Peer Score

17.9

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

United States

PredictIt

Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025?

31.5%

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%

Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Economy & Business

Commodity Futures Trading Commission

United States

PredictIt

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Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025?

31.5%

Will Metaculus exist in 2030?

95%