Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?

Resolved :Annulled104
10
3
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction104 (55.7 - 446)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1B
...
...
...
...
55.7
104
445.9
0.3%

What was the final result?Annulled

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Microbiology
Virology
Henipavirus
The New England Journal of Medicine
Nipah virus infection
World Health Organization
Infectious disease
Henan
Shandong

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