Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025?

Resolved :Yes96%
17
34
Total Forecasters122
Community Prediction96% (90% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
33.0
Community Peer Score
8.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
Presidential Records Act
United States
Mar-a-Lago
Donald Trump
Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

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