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Depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions, what percent of students enrolled in higher education will be international students in 2028?

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SCOTUS Ruling on Racial Preferences	resolution
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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

4.458

5.642

6.787

0.1%

What was the final result?Annulled

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Social Sciences

2022-2023 Leaderboard

US Department of State

Supreme Court of the US

Institute of International Education

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Grutter v. Bollinger

University of North Carolina

Beyond Admissions: Colleges React to Supreme Court Ruling on Race

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Number of Black Students Starting Harvard Law School Hits 60-Year Low

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Social Sciences

2022-2023 Leaderboard

US Department of State

Supreme Court of the US

Institute of International Education

Students for Fair Admissions

Harvard University

Grutter v. Bollinger

University of North Carolina

Beyond Admissions: Colleges React to Supreme Court Ruling on Race

Time•Dec 17, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Number of Black Students Starting Harvard Law School Hits 60-Year Low

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions, what percent of students enrolled in higher education will be international students in 2028?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Comments

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?