Question

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

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Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction5% (1% - 17%)

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rendall

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K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

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What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

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2034-07-19

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

rendall

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

SpaceX to launch more private astronaut missions to ISS

Raw Story•Dec 20, 2024

Here’s why the EU is spending $11B to compete with Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

2034-07-19

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Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

Make a Prediction

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?

Comments

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

Will a space elevator successfully be built on Earth before 2100?